NFL Week 12 spread picks 49ers flex Super Bowl muscles on Thanksgiving Giants cover vs. Patriots

NFL Week 12 spread picks 49ers flex Super Bowl muscles on Thanksgiving Giants cover vs. Patriots

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Just in time for Thanksgiving, we enjoy one of our best weeks of the season in this little betting corner of the internet. I went 11-3 ATS throughout the Week 11 slate, including a 4-1 ATS mark on my five locks of the week. Our lone mi s was Miami failing to pull away and cover the double-digit spread against the . I also had 10 of the 14 games predicted correctly, which brings me over 100 correct straight-up picks on the season. Overall, we had this collection of games pretty dialed in.That said, we won't get too high or too low within these picks and simply look to keep the momentum rolling as we head into the holiday weekend, starting with my five locks of the week.Before we do, Happy Thanksgiving to you and yours! Now let's make some cash to pair with our turkey.Regular seasonLocks of the Week ATS: 29-26ATS:84-74-6ML:103-61Thursday, 12:30 p.m. ET (Fox,) It doesn't look like the Packers will have for this matchup, which is a ma sive dent in their overall offense. While Green Bay was able to beat the at home last week, continues to have me question his consistency and overall ability to keep up with an offense like Detroit's, especially without his best weapon in Jones. is coming off a three-interception game in Week 11, but the Lions were still able to come out with a win and I expect the quarterback to put together a more sound outing this week. This could also be a strong day for both and as they face a Packers run defense that is allowing 4.8 yards per rush on the road (fifth-highest in the ). Projected score: Lions 30, Packers 20The pick: Lions -7.5Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC Albert Almora Jr Jersey ,) The 49ers are showing us that they are fully back on track after a stellar win over the Bucs on Sunday. had a perfect pa ser rating, they got contributions from all of their skill-position players, and the defense is top-notch. Losing safety is a tough blow, but it doesn't sway me from laying the points here especially with this number being under a touchdown. likely won't be 100% after suffering an injury to his throwing arm on Sunday or it'll be under center for Seattle. Either way, it'll be tough for Seattle to keep pace with San Francisco's offense, especially when needing to claw through a Niners defense. That unit ranks fourth in pre sure rate coming into Week 12, while the Seahawks offensive line is allowing pre sure at the eighth-highest rate in the league.Projected score: 49ers 27, Seahawks 20The pick: 49ers -6.5Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox,) This game features two of the worst teams in the and I'm surprised to see the Patriots laying a full field goal as a road favorite. Yes, they've had a week's rest coming off the bye, but this is still one of the worst offenses in the that seems ready to throughout the week. Meanwhile, the Giants offense was able to make plays with last week against a horrid pa s defense. While New England's secondary is better than Washington's, DeVito could have plenty of time to throw. The Patriots rank 31st in sack percentage and are 29th in pre sure rate this season. I'll take the field goal and lean toward the home dog sending New England into further despair.Projected score: Giants 17, Patriots 16The pick: Giants +3Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS,)We knew that Jacksonville was going to rebound after its lifele s lo s to the 49ers in Week 10 and looked great against the on Sunday. That said, I'm starting to wonder if the Jaguars are simply a club that beats up on bad competition. Yes, they beat the in London, but outside of that, they have not taken down any great teams. They lost to the in Week 2 and then the Niners a couple Kerry Wood Jersey of weeks ago. They also lost to this Texans team in Week 3. We can't put the Texans in the same breath as San Francisco and K.C. at the moment, but they are certainly one of the toughest teams they've faced this year and I expect this game to be tight. Meanwhile, the Texans are 3-0 against teams above .500 this season. I also like Houston's ability to slow down with a run defense that ranks eighth in rushing yards per game allowed and third in yards per rush allowed. We've sided with for the past few weeks and we're staying at the table while it's still hot. Projected score: Texans 24, Jaguars 23The pick: Texans +1.5Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS,)Buffalo was able to get back into the win column with a victory over the , but it's hard to take much away from that game, especially with New York's quarterback situation in such disarray. I also have a ton of questions about this Bills team when it's outside of Highmark Stadium. In Buffalo, they are 5-1, but just 1-4 on the road (or London). splits falter when he's on the road, and Philadelphia is one of the toughest road environments in the league. That's also not mentioning that the Eagles are looking like a juggernaut that just clawed to a win at Arrowhead Stadium against the Chiefs on Monday. This could be a huge game for Mark Grace Jersey as he is set to face a Bills run defense that is allowing 4.5 yards per carry this season (fourth-most in the NFL). Philly is also 6-2-2 ATS this season, which gives them the highest cover percentage (75%) in the NFL.Projected score: Eagles 27, Bills 23The pick: Eagles -3.5Commanders at Projected score: Cowboys 33, Commanders 20The pick: Cowboys -11 at JetsProjected score: Dolphins 27, Jets 16The pick: Dolphins -10 at Projected score: Falcons 23, Saints 20The pick: Falcons -1 at Projected score: Steelers 19, Bengals 13The pick: Steelers -1 at TitansProjected score: Titans 23, Panthers 17The pick: Titans -3.5 at Projected score: Colts 23, Buccaneers 20The pick: Colts -2.5 at Projected score: Broncos 21, Browns 17The pick: Broncos -2.5 at Projected score: Cardinals 23, Rams 20The pick: Cardinals -1Chiefs at RaidersProjected score: Chiefs 28, Raiders 17The pick: Chiefs -9.5 at ChargersProjected score: Ravens 30, Chargers 20The pick: Ravens -4 at (Monday)Projected score: Vikings 24, Bears 21The pick: Bears +3.5
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